The setup
You face 10 colored wires behind a gray junction box. Cutting the correct wire powers the exit door. Cutting an incorrect wire triggers an alarm and summons the Stalker. The Lever Room grants immunity against the very next attack only.
The probability matrix
Each cut is a discrete uniform distribution without replacement. Probability of success on attempt n:
P(n) = 1 / wiresRemaining
With 10 wires remaining, blind-guessing yields a 10% chance on the first cut. Expected number of cuts to find the correct wire in a diminishing pool: E = H_n (harmonic number). For 10 wires, E ≈ 2.93 cuts.
The decision tree
SAFE to brute-force when:
- Lever Room levers are flipped (immunity against next Stalker attack).
- Lives remaining ≥ 2.
- Wires remaining ≥ 3 (expected cuts < 2).
CRITICAL RISK when:
- Lever Room levers are NOT flipped.
- Alarm is already active (Stalker is hunting).
- Lives remaining = 1.
FATAL PROBABILITY when:
Alarm active + levers unflipped + lives = 1 → stop cutting immediately. Locate the Lever Room to reset the entity state.
The alarm reset loop
Flipping the 3 levers grants temporary immunity. It does not disable the alarm or pacify the Stalker permanently. After an entity attack is survived, manually reset the Lever Status toggle to FALSE in the tool.
Use the tool
The Level 14 Wire Survival Simulator runs the full probability matrix and outputs CRITICAL RISK / SAFE / FATAL recommendations in real time.